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	<title>Free Pedro &#187; John Smoltz</title>
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	<link>http://freepedro.com</link>
	<description>The Blog About The Red Sox, The Mets, Baseball, and Sports Generally</description>
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		<title>An &#8220;I Told You So&#8221; (In Advance)</title>
		<link>http://freepedro.com/2009/08/i-told-you-so-in-advance/</link>
		<comments>http://freepedro.com/2009/08/i-told-you-so-in-advance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2009 21:14:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Red Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Smoltz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Masterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Byrd]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freepedro.com/?p=199</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Let me refer you back to this post. The John Smoltz thing wasn&#8217;t working two weeks ago, it&#8217;s not going to work tonight, and it&#8217;s not going to start working. Well, at least we have Masterson to replace him with&#8230; What?&#8230; We did?&#8230; Well then&#8230;

Let&#8217;s hope Byrd&#8217;s back on the juice!

In all seriousness though, I&#8217;m [...]<p><a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/08/i-told-you-so-in-advance/">An &#8220;I Told You So&#8221; (In Advance)</a> is a post from: <a href="http://freepedro.com">Free Pedro</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Let me refer you back to <a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/07/a-failed-experiment/">this post</a>. The John Smoltz thing wasn&#8217;t working two weeks ago, it&#8217;s not going to work tonight, and it&#8217;s not going to start working. Well, at least we have Masterson to replace him with&#8230; What?&#8230; We did?&#8230; Well then&#8230;<span id="more-199"></span></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><img class="size-full wp-image-200 alignleft" title="Rangers Red Sox Baseball" src="http://freepedro.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/large_paul-byrd1.jpg" alt="Rangers Red Sox Baseball" width="261" height="348" /></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Let&#8217;s hope Byrd&#8217;s back on the juice!</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">
<p style="text-align: justify;">In all seriousness though, I&#8217;m supremely disappointed that Meryl Masterson will no longer be part of my life. She will be missed.</p>
<p><a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/08/i-told-you-so-in-advance/">An &#8220;I Told You So&#8221; (In Advance)</a> is a post from: <a href="http://freepedro.com">Free Pedro</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>50576</slash:comments>
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		<title>Open Thread: Who is the Best Pitcher of the Steroid Era?</title>
		<link>http://freepedro.com/2009/08/open-thread-who-is-the-best-pitcher-of-the-steroid-era/</link>
		<comments>http://freepedro.com/2009/08/open-thread-who-is-the-best-pitcher-of-the-steroid-era/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 03:03:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Maddux]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Smoltz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mariano Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pedro Martinez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Randy Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roger Clemens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steroids]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Carlton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Glavine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trevor Hoffman]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freepedro.com/?p=190</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;d like to take this opportunity to begin a debate. A great debate. It&#8217;s time to begin the (naive?) postmortem on the Steroid Era. To me, the most interesting question is our first question:
Who was the best pitcher of the steroid era?
And to kick off the debate, I&#8217;ve invited Danny Stahl, our friend and long-suffering [...]<p><a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/08/open-thread-who-is-the-best-pitcher-of-the-steroid-era/">Open Thread: Who is the Best Pitcher of the Steroid Era?</a> is a post from: <a href="http://freepedro.com">Free Pedro</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;d like to take this opportunity to begin a debate. A great debate. It&#8217;s time to begin the (naive?) postmortem on the Steroid Era. To me, the most interesting question is our first question:</p>
<p>Who was the best <em>pitcher</em> of the steroid era?</p>
<p>And to kick off the debate, I&#8217;ve invited Danny Stahl, our friend and long-suffering Royals fan &#8211; and  amateur baseball analyst &#8211; to share his thoughts. He has written a very thorough and thoughtful essay, in which he comes to a very unfortunate conclusion for those who love Pedro&#8230;</p>
<p><span id="more-190"></span>Here it is, published in all its Pedro-hater (i.e. Maddux-loving) glory:</p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Who&#8217;s the best pitcher of our era?</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">So let me start by defining the question. &#8216;Best&#8217; is a combination of every possible factor one would consider, and I&#8217;ll do my best to compile a list of pitchers who any somewhat knowledgeable baseball fan would consider. &#8216;Our &#8216; is the Generation Y group who has grown up in this &#8216;era&#8217; of baseball often described as the steroid era.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">For me, the era starts on April 23rd, 1988. No, that&#8217;s not my birthday &#8211; that was 33 days earlier. No, April 23rd was Steve Carlton&#8217;s last game, and he was out of this world good (he won 27 games for a team that won only 59), so he&#8217;s the line I&#8217;m drawing.<br />
Since then I can come up with only a handful of pitchers who are to be considered for this great honor. They are in no particular order:</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;"><br />
Representing Starters:<br />
Pedro Martinez<br />
Roger Clemens<br />
Randy Johnson<br />
Greg Maddux<br />
Tom Glavine<br />
John Smoltz</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Representing Closers:<br />
Mariano Rivera<br />
Trevor Hoffman</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">&#8230; ok so right off the bat, I was joking about both closers. Both were great in their own ways, but cannot be included in this list. I think the modern day 1-inning closer is bogus and proof of that is how bad the Royals are despite having the league leader in ERA starting every 5 days and one of the league&#8217;s best closers at the end. Closers play a smaller and smaller role these days.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">OK, moving on. I&#8217;m going to eliminate John Smoltz due to his time spent as a closer, and Tom Glavine for being only the 2nd best on his own team behind Maddux. So that leaves Martinez, Clemens, Johnson, and Maddux. Once again, I&#8217;m making a speed judgment call, but because this is the &#8217;steroid era&#8217; we&#8217;re discussing, beating the big monsters at the plate is more impressive when you DON&#8217;T join in on the &#8216;roid party. Clemens eliminated. (Oh and he&#8217;s a jackass and I don&#8217;t like him, so according to Hall of Fame statute #5 Voting shall be based upon the player&#8217;s record, ability, integrity, sportsmanship, character, and contributions to his team) Roger has none of the bolded whatsoever. (<a onmousedown="UntrustedLink.bootstrap($(this), &quot;b6bde60e2689437631d0a736bcfcca8f&quot;, event)" rel="nofollow" href="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3525/3238924680_891732c539_o.jpg" target="_blank">http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3525/3238924680_891732c539_o.jpg</a>).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Getting down to 2 was a bit harder, so I could actually do a one-on-one analysis. I chose to eliminate Johnson for a few reasons. First is that this blog loves Pedro, and next is the fact that Randy was great between the ages of 35-40, which is a little unbelievable to have happened without steroids. [Editor's Note: wo, wo, calm down, no one is accusing anyone of anything]. Also Randy too is a jackass, and was at his best when he got to move to the #2 slot behind Schilling on the Diamondbacks. So here we go, here&#8217;s the fight of the era, Pedro -vs- Madd Dog. We&#8217;ll start with some basics and go from there.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Pedro:<br />
214-99 (.684), 2.91 ERA, 3117 K&#8217;s, 757 BB&#8217;s</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Maddux:<br />
355-227 (.610), 3.10 ERA, 3371 K&#8217;s, 999 BB&#8217;s</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">It&#8217;s even. Pedro wins in winning percentage, Maddux is 8th all time in wins. Pedro has a slightly lower ERA, Maddux has more K&#8217;s. So what in the world could separate these two? Here&#8217;s a few more detailed stats to go along with it.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">K/BB-&gt; Advantage Pedro<br />
Pedro: 4.14<br />
Maddux: 3.37</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">K/9-&gt; Advantage Pedro<br />
Pedro: 10.1<br />
Maddux: 6.1</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">ERA+ -&gt; Advantage Pedro<br />
Pedro: 154<br />
Maddux: 132</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">BB/9 -&gt; Advantage Maddux<br />
Pedro: 2.4<br />
Maddux: 1.8</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">WHIP -&gt; Advantage Pedro<br />
Pedro: 1.051<br />
Maddux: 1.143</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Seems like I&#8217;m going to go with Pedro doesn&#8217;t it? Well I&#8217;m not and here&#8217;s why&#8230;</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Greg Maddux is quite possibly not only the best pitcher in our era, but the best of all time. He&#8217;s 8th all time in wins, and has put together a longer more consistently productive career than anyone in baseball history. Despite the fact that people often say that Pedro had a &#8220;Kofax&#8217;esque&#8221; career, he has had 14 seasons of at least 20 starts. He played roughly from ages 21-35 in which he led the league in ERA 5 times, K&#8217;s 3, and Wins once, but also had seasons with win totals of 10, 11, 14, 13, 7, 14, 9, and 5. Remember, he played for the Red Sox and Mets, who averaged 4.93 runs/game in his lowest total year (2008). Pedro has only led the league in wins once (23) and despite lower totals, Maddux has done it three times (20, 16, 19).</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">During that same age span, Greg Maddux never won FEWER than 15 games. In fact he did it from ages 22-38, threw in a season of 13 wins, and then got another 15-win season at 40. His streak of 15+ win seasons is 17 years. For 17 straight years, he was great, posting a 3.10 ERA and never failing to get his team the wins they needed from their starter. I understand that he only won 20 games once, but never posting a season under 10 wins for 20 years surely makes up for it. I have to give the nod to the Mad Dog for all of this, and go ahead and throw in his 4 Cy Youngs and 18 Gold Gloves for fun.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;">Bring on the controversy, but my pick is the Mad Dog. And hey, chicks dig the longball.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;"><span style="color: #0000ff;">-</span>Danny Stahl</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;"><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="425" height="350" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/4ltD21rYWVw" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="425" height="350" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/4ltD21rYWVw"></embed></object></span></p>
<p><span style="color: #0000ff;"><span style="color: #000000;">To those who love Pedro, or somehow Johnson, or &#8211; dare I say &#8211; even to those who love Clemens, you&#8217;d better bring your A-game. Danny Stahl has thrown down the gauntlet. </span><br />
</span></p>
<p><a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/08/open-thread-who-is-the-best-pitcher-of-the-steroid-era/">Open Thread: Who is the Best Pitcher of the Steroid Era?</a> is a post from: <a href="http://freepedro.com">Free Pedro</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>A Failed Experiment</title>
		<link>http://freepedro.com/2009/07/a-failed-experiment/</link>
		<comments>http://freepedro.com/2009/07/a-failed-experiment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2009 16:47:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Red Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Smoltz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Masterson]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freepedro.com/?p=124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s a great strategy for rounding out a rotation: sign low-priced veterans  and/or injury come-backs who might have something left. This is usually a low-risk move with high upside, and if you are the type of team that has the bankroll to take a flier on a guy or two like this every season, it [...]<p><a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/07/a-failed-experiment/">A Failed Experiment</a> is a post from: <a href="http://freepedro.com">Free Pedro</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-120" title="yesterday, better" src="http://freepedro.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/yesterday-better-200x300.jpg" alt="yesterday, better" width="120" height="180" /><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-121" title="fork" src="http://freepedro.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/fork1-225x300.jpg" alt="fork" width="135" height="180" />It&#8217;s a great strategy for rounding out a rotation: sign low-priced veterans  and/or injury come-backs who might have something left. This is usually a low-risk move with high upside, and if you are the type of team that has the bankroll to take a flier on a guy or two like this every season, it can prove quite profitable (see <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hernali01.shtml">Hernandez, 2009</a>; <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/colonba01.shtml">Colon, 2008</a>; <a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/saberbr01.shtml">Saberhagen, 1998 and 1999</a>). One shouldn&#8217;t expect anything more than a backend of the rotation guy who can give you some innings and an ERA in the mid-fours. Something better is great, and anything worse  is fine because you didn&#8217;t spend a lot and your expectations should have been low. The only way this strategy burns a team is if they aren&#8217;t willing to pull the plug. It&#8217;s clear at this point that John Smoltz is done. Masterson is a better pitcher. There&#8217;s a pennant race going on.  Time to make the switch.</p>
<p><a href="http://freepedro.com/2009/07/a-failed-experiment/">A Failed Experiment</a> is a post from: <a href="http://freepedro.com">Free Pedro</a></p>
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